$BE (October 7, 2026-Daily Chart) The last volatility hole marked the recent bottom around $160, followed by choppy price action within the uptrend, consistent with strong and steady whale accumulation. Above $300, $320 is the next resistance. https://t.co/SGQ0ryGGCD
$BE (September 30, 2026-Daily) Next resistance levels are at $300 and $320 https://t.co/bENuHiEx7s
$BE (September 25, 2026-Daily) Near term resistance lies at $284-$285.
$BE (September 24, 2026-Daily Chart) Trend Analysis: The last volatility hole I highlighted marked the bottoming process for $BE. Since then the stock has been choppy but remains in an uptrend, shown by a gradual rise in whale accumulation that now sits at 64.6%. Momentum bars at $205, $217, and $252 are acting as key support. Near-term resistance is at $284. A clear break above that level could open a test of the next resistance zone in the $300 and $320 range.
I've seen comments from Jim Cramer today supporting hedge funds that short Leopold's "nonsense" $SNDK / $DRAM / SK Hynix type calls. As well Cramer calling $CRWD a "Must Buy". I'm not sure if Jim Cramer sees a $241B company labelled "Cybersecurity" and thinks of it as safe... while ignoring all their fundamentals. But with Crowdstrike, you have a ~145x FY2028 fwd P/E company, growing revenue 26% Y/Y. That Cramer thinks is a "must buy". And then you turn your eyes to the AI capex beneficiary theme that Leopold is long on. With names like $SKHY / Samsung in $DRAM... Both FY2027 ~2.8-3x fwd P/E off analyst projections. -> Samsung LTAs to 2031 (70% capacity) for durability... -> Minimum price floor + no price ceiling type contracts from SK Hynix. -> Memory shortage much tigher for the next year. -> DRAM/NAND % of hyperscaler capex goes higher (est. 68% per Trendforce) -> 2027 hyperscaler capex projections all hiked. Then with $SNDK, 50% FCF margins, 80% gross margin projections into 2030. Only Situational Awareness position I'm in disagreement with is $CRWV due to debt interest eating FCF, but I can make a similar bullish argument with $BE, $INTC, $AMD, and others. Not quite sure about short-term, but over the medium run: It's hard to not see Leopold's positions pulling an Inverse Cramer due to overwhelming fundamentals.
Volatility Holes as a Reliable Buying/Accumulation Signal (September 12, 2026) Stage 1 —Volatility Hole marks the bottoming signal The volatility hole usually marks the bottom amid retail fear and skepticism. Treat that zone as the first buy / accumulation area. Stage 2 — Choppy consolidation Price usually chops, with both red and yellow candles alternating, which do not really matter, as long as they stay above the lower boundary of the hole. A break below that lower boundary invalidates the setup. While the hole holds, use clear momentum bars as add-on buy signals. The longer the momentum bar, the more critical the resistance. Stage 3 — Confirm the breakout The surge usually starts when price breaks the upper boundary of the volatility hole. That break is the final buy or accumulation. Stage 4 — Hold until the sell signal Once the breakout is in, sit tight and do not add. If you are a trader, trim or sell only when a bearish signal appears. One-line rule: Accumulate inside the hole, add on momentum bars when they are cleared, buy the upside break, and do not sell the chop. Real example from $BE Daily Chart 1. The last volatility hole formed while $BE was trading between $157 and $185. That was the first buy. 2. The second buy came as the momentum bars I highlighted at $205, $217, and $252 were cleared one after another. 3. The third buy triggered when price broke above the upper boundary of the volatility hole at $224. 4. Once those levels are taken out, hold tight and let the whales do the rest. @cantonmeow @sheslee @tonylee80 @niker8202 @Hiteshp99 @Jimmy_tesla_01
Looks like Situational Awareness is back: Sources say Leopold bought options in $AMD, $BE, $CRWV, and $DRAM. And was active in other stocks such as $SKHY, and $SNDK. Little surprising since option IV across the board is quite high. https://t.co/P2Pg5szbvO
How I use the Volatility Hole and blue ribbon to time the bottoming signals (September 9, 2026) I regularly share the bottoming signal from my proprietary Volatility Hole indicator and the descending blue ribbon with my community, and I mark those posts as “MUST-READ” or “Volatility Hole.” Recent examples include: $BE $TSLA $HOOD When these signals appear, accumulate in the zone I highlight on my daily and weekend posts. Then wait patiently for additional bullish confirmation before doubling down. Today, one ticker I shared in the semiconductor post has shown similar early bottoming signals. Please check it out.
How to Read My Chart Accurately and Identify Buy and Accumulation Signals — Using $BE as an Example (September 9, 2026) The last volatility hole marked the bottom and served as the first major buy and accumulation zone. Price then entered a choppy consolidation. During that phase, three key momentum bars printed at $205, $217, and $252. These levels first acted as resistance. Once they were cleared with conviction, they flipped into reliable buy signals and new support. Currently, the bullish red ribbon now shows the mid-term uptrend is ready to resume provided that whale accumulation remains strong and steady, currently at 67.5%.
$BE (September 4, 2026-Daily Chart) The last volatility hole marked the recent low in $BE between $157 and $180 and served as a reliable buying/accumulation zone. Whale buying has been consistent since then (panel 3), and momentum has built from that base. Three momentum bars now stand out in panel 1: $205, $217, and $252. The first two form a support zone; $252 is the near-term resistance.
Just taking a look at Leopold's Situational Awareness Q2 13F latest holdings as of June 30th: 1. $SNDK - $5.674B 2. $MU - $5.574B 3. $BE - $1.899B 4. $TSM - $1.265B 5. $NBIS - $1.232B 6. $CRWV - $744.5M 7. $CORZ - $665.6M 8. $STM - $584.3M (new) 9. $APLD - $469.0M 10. $RIOT - $468.2M 11. $SHAZ - $456.8M 12. $IREN - $433.3M Less material positions includeed $CLSK, $KEEL, sei-network:native, $WYFI, $BTDR, $TE, $HIVE, $VSH, and others. Seems like Situational Awareness concentrated around memory (Sandisk, Micron), that have low forward multiples but high visibility into 2030. As well as Anthropic/energy/power adjacent from colo/neoclouds + Bloom. Some of the bottlenecks like the MLCC trade, he couldn't see play out (Taiyo Yuden, etc). due to July's liqudation. And some are new like $STM (eg. MCU price hikes). With core winners of everything such as $TSM (but less high-beta). This looked similar to my H2 2026/early 2027 portfolio with Nebius, Micron, TSM, colo players and others as core focus. (I've heavily concentrated on upstream networking/legacy memory currently, with a lot of name overlap). But always cool to see what others are doing.
$BE (August 31, 2026-Monthly Chart) $BE is one of the names I’m asked to chart recently. Every time retail starts chasing it, that has marked a temporary top. We’ll see if it can survive the monthly volatility hole — a process that could take months to play out. https://t.co/gIkT3eBMv6
$BE (August 31, 2026-Monthly Chart) Can $BE survive the recent volatility hole and start another leg up? https://t.co/aJ00mfDsGS
$BE (August 29, 2026-Weekly Chart) The bullish red ribbon has now tightened in Panel 1, and it is time for $BE to decide its next direction. A weekly close above $250 is required for the bullish red ribbon to form again. https://t.co/Z4Flvtyo3S
$BE (August 27, 2026-Daily Chart) Double volatility holes plus the red ribbon marked the top; the final volatility hole plus the blue ribbon marked the bottom before $BE resumed its upward momentum. The momentum bars at $205.82 and $252.30 now act as support and resistance, respectively.
I know everyone's focused on Nancy Pelosi copytraders sending $BE up 11.83%. Or Trump... But you know what else is cool? FAU bottlenecks for CPO. I remember saying earlier this year FAU/Foci might be a future bottleneck around $TSM / $NVDA CPO roadmaps... This was some media commentary supporting that: "It is understood that Largan Precision (3008), FOCI (3363), and China’s TFC have entered $NVDA FAU supply chain" "Based on an estimated 20,000 Spectrum-X systems shipped this year, the optical engines installed in those systems would require approximately 600k-700k FAUs" In 2027, demand is expected to reach several million units, and existing supply chain capacity is currently unable to meet demand." (UDN, mandarin -> english translation is kinda off) Cough cough, "existing supply chain capacity is currently unable to meet demand" Tad early right now since mass production is expected H2 2027, but cool to read updates around this.
$BE (August 5, 2026-Daily Chart Update) The most recent volatility hole clearly signaled the bottom. Since then, momentum has been steadily building, confirmed by a consistent increase in whale accumulation, currently at 26%. The upper boundary of this volatility hole sits at $228.5 — a level $BE must break out above to confirm continuation of the uptrend. In the meantime, the momentum bars in the $203–$205 range should provide near-term support.
The media framing and X reactions around Leopold are egregious. Framing his successful multi-year thesis from $SNDK to $BE as a "collapse" or "failure". After July's surprising crash, then personally attacking him on top is just pathetic to witness. It's almost like everyone is cheering for the downfall of others. Yes, July's crash exposed problems with SA’s leverage, liquidity management, and hedging. But his current YTD performance remains +80%, ranking among the best performing hedge funds. And he still has public equities after all this (just removed leverage). I think he's doing something unique while being successful at it. And this draws the envy of others.
Did Citadel really just liquidate Situational Awareness… Then brought up entire markets the next day? $NBIS +26.25% $IREN +25.96% $SHAZ +22.82% $SNDK + 23.98% $BE +23.67% $SKHY +16.98% $INTC +12.16% Amid many others. This has gotta be one of the wildest liquidations I’ve seen.
There's a lot of stupid commentary around Leopold raising funds. After names like $BE, $SNDK, $SHAZ, and others all had very sharp drawdowns in July. Just remember... here's a man in finance that's 1. 6'5 2. Blue Eyes 3. Hedge Fund Probably better looking than you, and was up 439% through June YTD. Regarding the drawdown, Aschenbrenner acknowledged that the fund had "not been immune" to the market turmoil, particularly in Asia. FT separately reported that leverage amplified both its extraordinary gains and recent losses. He described the sell-off as potentially the best buying opportunity since early 2025 I'd agree with him and hope he succeeds with the raise. Since a lot of the current selloff looks like it overshot its mark through forced deleveraging.
I personally see it as extreme short term deleveraging that overshot many individual names. - $BE to $TER reported blowout results, with Bloom reporting 166% Y/Y rev growth + expanding margins + raised 2026 guidance... Teradyne reported 104% Y/Y revenue growth with 300%+ EPS growth. Your leading optical players over in China reported amazing preliminary earnings + extremely strong read through for the Western photonics sector. Think earnings season tend to remind markets about continued AI acceleration. I'm expecting $LITE, $SNDK / SK Hynix, and sector leader ERs to continue that trend. But it does feel like markets are rewarding existing acceleration more rather than future growth a year out over near-term revisions as seen with $AMKR. But as a TLDR, looks very positive for the themes I'm tracking. - Then you have $GOOGL capex raised to $195-$205B, which is typically the biggest AI demand signal from hyperscalers. - 77% 0bps change est. next FOMC decision from prediction markets. Trump administration on Monday called for the Fed to lower interest rates. So your 3x rate hikes fears this year seem kinda overblown. - Chinese fears from DUV to $CXMT overflooding are extremely overblown as well. We see this with every sector from time to time until people remember that lasers or HBM bottlenecks for a reason. As for personal thoughts, it was unhealthy seeing everything rise up or down together, especially with these themes. But I'm personally not worried since I have full conviction in my names, especially optical interconnects like $SIVE or $AAOI. $META compute and $GOOGL GCP margins/growth shows increasing demand for $NBIS and similar neocloud business models. $META + other hyperscaler notes around LTAs with $SNDK and Samsung/SK Hynix, $MU point to structural memory demand. Can go on and on... But when you have Jim Cramer telling every margined DC trader to "sell everything" at market open and news saying there's an AI bubble. I do hate it when others say "it's dropping so sell". My belief is that the important thing to look is accelerating revenue/EPS growth. And if that thesis stays in-tact with revenue acceleration in line with hyperscaler capex. TLDR: I see signs of AI demand / revenue acceleration, hyperscaler capex is one of the most important things to track. And my guess is that we'll see the theme recover broadly. But I can't predict what hour, day, or week that happens.
$BE (July 25, 2026-Daily Chart) The downtrend persists, accompanied by a steady decrease in whale accumulation, currently at 23%! https://t.co/RApL7R2UdU
$BE (July 21, 2026-Weekly Chart) Volatility holes acted as an early warning signal, marking the temporary top twice — six weeks before the bearish yellow candles emerged. By simply following this indicator, traders could have successfully avoided the 13 weeks of sideways consolidation and/or subsequent drawdown. Patience is the key: wait for the next bullish red candle as a high-probability buy and accumulation signal.
NEW: The CEO of an AI giant said again and again: "There is no China supply chain for us." Trade records, satellites, Chinese filings and even its own suppliers in China say otherwise. The truth raises an existential threat to Bloom Energy’s story. Our $BE investigation: https://t.co/rmtbSVWZXh
Just some of the more interesting news I came across recently: 1. MS: Revised China humanoid shipments to reach 50,000 in 2026 from 14,000u and 28,000u earlier this year. 2. MS: Probe cards and test sockets likely to be priced hike (precious metal hikes + severe shortage of test pin capacity) 3. Capacitor price hikes: MLCC, aluminum electrolytic, tantalum, polymer aluminum, film, and super capacitors from Yageo. 4. $META Vistara architecture: Older DDR4 Memory with CXL as memory expansion 5. OpenAI achieved inference optimization breakthrough that halves costs and reduces GPU requirements. 6. LTAs are being signed with MLCC after Samsung signed LTA with US big tech customer 7. Grid power bottlenecks triggered 5x increase ($25B) in Brookfield's financing for $BE fuel cells. 8. Taiwan's chip packaging and testing supply chain includes major OSAT providers such as $ASX, Powertech, Winstek Semiconductor, Chipbond, ChipMOS, and ShunSin. Dedicated testing companies include KYEC, Ardentec, and Sigurd Microelectronics, while testing interface suppliers include WinWay, MPI, Keystone Microtech, Chunghwa Precision, and Hermes Testing Solutions. Leadframe makers include Jih Lin Tech, SDI, and CWTC, while major IC substrate suppliers include Unimicron, Kinsus, Nan Ya PCB, and Zhen Ding Tech. (Digitimes) - Taiwan-based OSAT providers are raising prices - Memory and IC packaging and testing capacity have both become bottlenecks in the semiconductor supply chain
$BE (June 28, 2026-weekly chart update) $BE sold off on Friday and printed a fresh yellow candle. Invalidation requires a strong weekly close above the $350 range. The last volatility hole is still in play. Price remains inside its range for now, but a break below the lower boundary at $239.34 could trigger a sharp decline.
$BE (June 20, 2026-weekly charts) Double Volatility Holes marked the completion of the bottoming process, followed by sideways consolidation. Each time buyers stepped in at the breakout from these volatility holes, a strong subsequent rally followed. Can $BE survive the recent volatility hole and trigger another surge? Panel 2 should give us some important clues. Congrats to those who are long $BE! @redfoxryder
$BE (May 14, 2026-daily) Nothing much has changed — the uptrend remains firmly intact. Surviving the recent volatility hole would allow the stock to run higher; failure to do so would suggest the opposite. https://t.co/dMOlyCHV9R