$ORCL (June 12, 2026-daily chart update) The open gap between $184.78 and $198.19 is acting as a temporary resistance zone, while the $175 area is serving as the current support. If the dip deepens, the momentum bars at $154.20 and $163.40 should act as the next support levels.
$ORCL (June 11, 2026-daily) The red-to-green bar reversal in Panel 2 on June 5, while $ORCL traded in the $209–$231 range, had already warned of weakening price momentum. This was confirmed the next day by the final bearish yellow candle in Panel 1 on June 6.
$ORCL – Weekly Chart (June 1, 2026) The most recent volatility hole (highlighted) perfectly timed the bottoming process before the red candle signalled the resumption of the uptrend. This volatility hole is a high-conviction signal. It dramatically improves the reliability of subsequent red and yellow candle patterns. Without it, signal accuracy drops noticeably. Since then, momentum has been building steadily indicated by panel 2 and 4. The longest momentum bar at $173.6 has now been surpassed, and the bullish red ribbon is poised to expand in panel 1. With whale accumulation holding firm at 74.5%, the probability of a sustained trend reversal is significantly elevated. Simple, High-Probability Entry Strategy: 1. Buy on the appearance of the volatility hole 2. Buy on confirmation from the red candle 3. Buy when the longest momentum bar is broken 4. Buy on trend reversal (blue to red ribbon) Trading and investing don’t need to be complicated. The best setups are often the clearest ones!
Leopold released his 13F and uhh... WHAT IS THIS? Puts in $SMH $NVDA $ORCL $AVGO $AMD $MU $TSM $ASML Bro turned into Michael Burry However, the fact that he was in these positions on March 31st means that the following rally over the next six weeks absolutely obliterated him. What is happening to Leopold (or what does he think is happening to us)?
The current bottleneck: Transformers/Switchgear. Trade Idea: Long Hammond (~2.2B CAD / ~$1.5B USD) at 184 CAD. They dominate the market for: -Transformers (dry, multi year bottleneck ~23% of market), -serve to switchgear (2-3Y bottleneck) -and manufacture liquid too (5Y, larger bottleneck) I personally anticipate components price hikes like NAND, as $AMZN, $MSFT and others compete for allocation. You might have seen: “Half of US data center builds have been delayed or canceled, growth limited by shortages of power infrastructure”… Then you go further: “To address shortages… Canada, Mexico… became the biggest suppliers of high-power transformers for AI data centers to AI data centers” Guess who is in Canada (Guelph).. Mexico (Monterrey 3 and 4)… and the US? Hammond Then here’s the reason the articles cite why hyperscaler DB buildouts are falling apart: “Major reason behind these setbacks is the availability of key electrical components — such as transformers, switchgear”. Institutions are probably looking at Powell, Eaton, and others… but little do they know? Companies like these actually buy Hammond’s transformers to put inside their own switchgear (“strong sales into data centres, switchgear manufacturers") Their market share over the transformers market is actually pretty large (eg. ~23% dry). The most compelling signal: -> 122% Y/Y 2025 backlog increase. And we can infer this to be 1B+ CAD. Eg. company achieved 898m CAD in sales in 2025, capacity ceiling. Management said close of Q3 2025 orders were valued at 53% of the entire closing third-quarter backlog. Given that Q4 2025 revenue was 254 million and the backlog is "more than doubled," we can infer a total backlog value exceeding 1 billion CAD. Also: “Gross margin compression last year was due to the buildout of their Mexico facility, but both gross margins are expected to increase and the facility expansions are expectied to turn into accelerated revenue Q2 2026)” which is now. Downside is if raw material costs (copper, electrical steel) spike again, but given this bottleneck, they can price hike. Personal FWD P/E estimates would be ~18-21 for 2026, <15 for 2027 from volume ramp. But I think it’s possible to hit single digit fwd P/E if they do price hikes mixed with hyperscaler emergency orders. But that might get a little mixed with the new acquisition. Regardless still looks cheap. Just a TLDR: $AMZN, $MSFT, $META, $GOOGL, $ORCL datacenter are being bottlenecked because of a lack of transformers/switchgear. Seems like markets missed this little player with large market share, despite backlog visibility and increasing revenue from capacity expansion coming online. I personally found it pretty compelling, so I went long. Just sharing my personal thoughts, of course DYOR before making any decisions yourself.